Rapkin, David P.

Transition scenarios China and the United States in the twenty-first century 21st David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson - VII, 273 S.

Twenty-first-century transition strugglesScenario construction -- Scenarios of future United States-China warfare : what is missing from this picture? -- Power-transition, offensive-realism, and leadership long-cycle perspectives on structural transitions -- Systemic transition dynamics and the conflict drivers in the China-United States transition context -- Constraints on transition conflict -- Weak conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "more of the same" and "Pax Americana II" scenarios -- Weak conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "transition war" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "Pax Sinica" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "liberal peace" scenario -- Using the scenarios in the twenty-first century. Twenty-first-century transition struggles -- Scenario construction -- Scenarios of future United States-China warfare : what is missing from this picture? -- Power-transition, offensive-realism, and leadership long-cycle perspectives on structural transitions -- Systemic transition dynamics and the conflict drivers in the China-United States transition context -- Constraints on transition conflict -- Weak conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "more of the same" and "Pax Americana II" scenarios -- Weak conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "transition war" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "Pax Sinica" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "liberal peace" scenario -- Using the scenarios in the twenty-first century.

9780226040479 paperback 9780226040332 cloth

2013003714


War--Forecasting


China--Relations--United States
United States--Relations--China

E183.8.C5

327.7305109/05