TY - BOOK AU - Rapkin,David P. AU - Thompson,William R. TI - Transition scenarios: China and the United States in the twenty-first century SN - 9780226040479 AV - E183.8.C5 U1 - 327.7305109/05 23 PY - 2013/// CY - Chicago [u.a.] PB - Univ. of Chicago Press KW - War KW - Forecasting KW - China KW - Relations KW - United States N1 - Twenty-first-century transition strugglesScenario construction -- Scenarios of future United States-China warfare : what is missing from this picture? -- Power-transition, offensive-realism, and leadership long-cycle perspectives on structural transitions -- Systemic transition dynamics and the conflict drivers in the China-United States transition context -- Constraints on transition conflict -- Weak conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "more of the same" and "Pax Americana II" scenarios -- Weak conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "transition war" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "Pax Sinica" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "liberal peace" scenario -- Using the scenarios in the twenty-first century; Twenty-first-century transition struggles -- Scenario construction -- Scenarios of future United States-China warfare : what is missing from this picture? -- Power-transition, offensive-realism, and leadership long-cycle perspectives on structural transitions -- Systemic transition dynamics and the conflict drivers in the China-United States transition context -- Constraints on transition conflict -- Weak conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "more of the same" and "Pax Americana II" scenarios -- Weak conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "transition war" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "Pax Sinica" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "liberal peace" scenario -- Using the scenarios in the twenty-first century UR - http://www.gbv.de/dms/sub-hamburg/736062068.pdf ER -